aeon-reg-monitor

Regulatory intelligence for the stack pieces that get killed by a single rule change: prediction markets, agent-controlled wallets, stablecoins, MEV, AI compliance.

Sources

Federal Register, CFTC, SEC, FinCEN, EU Official Journal, ESMA, state AGs, court dockets via CourtListener. Industry counsel commentary as cross-reference only.

Output format

Items ranked by Stage × Impact. Final + Existential/High items lead. Rumor-stage items are included but visually separated.

FINAL × HIGH
  CFTC no-action sunset for sports-event contracts — Mar 31
  Affected: Kalshi sports markets, derived Polymarket clones
  Action: unwind positions resolving after Mar 31 OR confirm continued no-action
  Source: cftc.gov/PressReleases/...

COMMENT × HIGH
  Treasury proposed rule on stablecoin reserve composition
  Comment period closes Apr 14
  Affected: USDC issuer reserve mix (commercial paper exposure)
  Action: monitor; no immediate trade

RUMOR
  ESMA reportedly weighing MiCAR Article-12 application to prediction markets
  Single-source. Low confidence.
  Action: no action yet — confirmation watch.

Rules

• Primary sources cited. "Reports indicate" without a filing or company post is rumor — flagged.
• Stage and confidence paired — high-impact + low-confidence rumors are flagged as both.
• Concrete operator action per item, or explicit "no action".
• No editorial commentary. Cited facts only.